Sunday 13 February 2011

OSCAR PREDICTIONS 2011


So, with all the major players, award-wise, out of the way - BAFTA, Golden Globes, Screen Writers Guild etc - it's the 83 year old man himself left.

On 27th February, the world, and anyone who's interested, will be put out of their misery as hosts James Franco and Anne Hathaway lead the congratulatory back-slapping award show through what some people have already called "predictable" in the recipient category.

But Oscar is nothing but surprising in some awards so nothing can be taken for granted across the board. So, here is a breakdown of the hopeful "gong-getters" and who I think will win and, just for fun, who I think should win. Any bets placed because of my predictions are placed at your own risk - remember, guesses can go down as well as up...

BEST PICTURE
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter's Bone

Oscar Winner - The King's Speech
Shoulda Won'er - The King's Speech

ACTUAL WINNER - The King's Speech


ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Javier Bardem (Biutiful)
Jeff Bridges (True Grit)
Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network)
Colin Firth (The King's Speech)
James Franco (127 Hours)

Oscar Winner - Colin Firth
Shoulda Won'er - Geoffrey Rush but since they've put him in Supporting Actor, then Jesse Eisenberg.

ACTUAL WINNER - Colin Firth


ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Christian Bale (The Fighter)
John Hawkes (Winter's Bone)
Jeremy Renner (The Town)
Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right)
Geoffrey Rush (The King's Speech)

Oscar Winner - Geoffrey Rush
Shoulda Won'er - Since Geoffrey should have got Best Actor, Supporting should go to Christian Bale.

ACTUAL WINNER - Christian Bale


ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right)
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole)
Jennifer Lawrence (Winter's Bone)
Natalie Portman (Black Swan)
Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine)

Oscar Winner - Natalie Portman
Shoulda Won'er - Natalie Portman

ACTUAL WINNER - Natalie Portman


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Amy Adams (The Fighter)
Helena Bonham Carter (The King's Speech)
Melissa Leo (The Fighter)
Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit)
Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom)

Oscar Winner - Helena Bonham Carter
Shoulda Won'er - either Amy Adams or Hailee Steinfeld... can't decide!

ACTUAL WINNER - Melissa Leo


ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
How To Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Oscar Winner - Toy Story 3
Shoulda Won'er - Toy Story 3... but only just! Which is something I'd never thought I'd say!

ACTUAL WINNER - Toy Story 3


ART DIRECTION
Alice In Wonderland
Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 1
Inception
The King's Speech
True Grit

Oscar Winner - Inception
Shoulda Won'er - Inception

ACTUAL WINNER - Alice In Wonderland


CINEMATOGRAPHY
Black Swan
Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network
True Grit

Oscar Winner - The King's Speech
Shoulda Won'er - True Grit

ACTUAL WINNER - Inception


COSTUME DESIGN
Alice In Wonderland
I Am Love
The King's Speech
The Tempest
True Grit

Oscar Winner - Alice In Wonderland
Shoulda Won'er - Alice In Wonderland

ACTUAL WINNER - Alice In Wonderland


DIRECTING
Black Swan - Darren Aronofsky
The Fighter - David O. Russell
The King's Speech - Tom Hooper
The Social Network - David Fincher
True Grit - Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Oscar Winner - David Fincher
Shoulda Won'er - David Fincher just pipping Joel and Ethan Coen

ACTUAL WINNER - Tom Hooper (The King's Speech)


DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Exit Through The Gift Shop
Gasland
Inside Job
Restrepo
Waste Land

Oscar Winner - Exit Through The Gift Shop
Shoulda Won'er - Inside Job

ACTUAL WINNER - Inside Job


DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Killing In The Name
Poster Girl
Strangers No More
Sun Come Up
The Warriors Of Quigang

Oscar Winner - Poster Girl
Shoulda Won'er - Poster Girl

ACTUAL WINNER - Strangers No More


FILM EDITING
Black Swan
The Fighter
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network

Oscar winner - Black Swan
Shoulda Won'er - 127 Hours

ACTUAL WINNER - The Social Network


FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Biutiful
Dogtooth
In A Better World
Incendies
Outside The Law (Hors-la-loi)

Oscar winner - Biutiful
Shoulda Won'er - Biutiful

ACTUAL WINNER - In A Better World


MAKE UP
Barney"s Vision
The Way Back
The Wolfman

Oscar Winner - The Wolfman
Shoulda Won'er - The Wolfman

ACTUAL WINNER - The Wolfman


MUSIC (Original Score)
How To Train Your Dragon
Inception
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network

Oscar Winner - The King's Speech
Shoulda Won'er - Inception

ACTUAL WINNER - The Social Network


MUSIC (Original Song)
Country Song ("Coming Home")
Tangled ("I See The Light")
127 Hours ("If I Rise")
Toy Story 3 ("We Belong Together")

Oscar Winner - Tangled
Shoulda Won'er - Tangled

ACTUAL WINNER - Toy Story 3


VISUAL EFFECTS
Alice In Wonderland
Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 1
Hereafter
Inception
Iron Man 2

Oscar Winner - Inception
Shoulda Won'er - Inception

ACTUAL WINNER - Inception


SHORT FILM (Animated)
Day & Night
The Gruffalo
Let's Pollute
The Lost Thing
Madagascar, carnet de voyage

Oscar winner - Day & Night
Shoulda Won'er - Day & Night

ACTUAL WINNER - The Lost Thing


SHORT FILM (Live Action)
The Confession
The Crush
God Of Love
Na Wewe
Wish 143

Oscar winner - Na Wewe
Shoulda Won'er - Na Wewe

ACTUAL WINNER - God Of Love


SOUND EDITING
Inception
Toy Story 3
Tron: Legacy
True Grit
Unstoppable

Oscar Winner - Tron: Legacy
Shoulda Won'er - Inception

ACTUAL WINNER - Inception


SOUND MIXING
Inception
The King's Speech
Salt
The Social Network
True Grit

Oscar winner - Inception
Shoulda Won'er - Inception

ACTUAL WINNER - Inception


WRITING (Adapted Screenplay)
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter's Bone

Oscar Winner - The Social Network
Shoulda Won'er - The Social Network

ACTUAL WINNER - The Social Network


WRITING (Original Screenplay)
Another Year
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech

Oscar Winner - The King's Speech
Shoulda Won'er - Inception

ACTUAL WINNER - The King's Speech


Care to challenge me or question why I've made the choices that I have? You've got until the 27th to put your money where your mouth is... bring it!

1 comment:

  1. I would have to go with Hailee Steinfeld for Best Supporting, for a twelve year old girl first time out she was outstanding and outshone her fellow Actors.
    Cinematography - would want 'Never Let me Go' but it's not up so have to go with Black Swan, except for final scenes in True Grit where chasing across the planes - beautifully breathtaking.. ooooh hard
    The rest your spot on.

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